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scmi_san_diego
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With a very personal stake in the saga of the Icelandic eruption (I am currently in Malta, unable to return with my daughter to the UK) a central question in my mind is: "How can we make effective plans to cover such unpredictable risks?"
Clearly, SCM risk management is not about covering EVERY feasible event, but it is concerned with contingency strategies to keep business flowing. One example gaining attention is the massive dependence of the Kenyan flower and produce sector on European markets. Aalsmeer in Netherlands (http://www.aalsmeer.nl/00004.asp) is the worlds largest flower auction house and depends on air freighted deliveries for it's upstream supply - with no deliveries, there is essentially only local (<1000km) sourcing available to maintain the operation and keep their customers supplied. This excludes Kenya (Israel, and other key sources, for the Dutch flower auction house) from supplying. Many of Aalsmeer's customers similarly air freight supplies from Netherlands around the world and are thus precluded from the supply chain whilst disruption continues. What is left is a relatively localized (primarily Northern European) supply chain and logistics operation. A key concern is whether such a shrinkage of their supply chain is economically sustainable. Commentators appear to believe that any extension of this major air traffic disruption beyond a week will have a pronounced effect on economic growth across Europe for sure, but of course will impact every other globally engaged economy on the planet.
Military logisticians have clearly considered the impact of major disruption - for example a major European Theatre conflict could impact the main transit and transportation route for the US military, and planners have long had alternative strategies available to draw on at short notice - not just re routing air flights, but transferring mode from air to sea/land and rail. But think of the capacity and asset investments necessary to have this flexibility! Can Apple seriously be able to reconfigure their supply chains to continue operations in Europe? Well, the answer is clearly "yes, to a large extent". Simply by the expediencies of outsourced logistics and manufacturing, Apple can spread their risks, access alternate channels and modes and maintain some form of business continuity.
OK, so Apply are shipping predominantly high value, low volume products (and iPod weights just 5 ounces and costs $249 - thats $50 an ounce. By comparison a Toyota Camry weighs 56,000 ounces and costs $19,600 - $0.35 an ounce!) which means logistics costs are a much smaller percentage of the total cost of an iPod cf to a Camry - the benefits being it is relatively easy to tranship, the down size - small, high value items are really prone to security risks if trans shipped!) The challenge for Apple in changing their logistics network is one of security of product. For Toyota the main challenge is cost of transportation of the finished product. Thus, under current conditions Toyota may be better placed than Apple to respond (assuming they have secure long term arrangements to avoid short term price hikes and capacity shortages in sea, road and rail.
Pricing will certainly be a key mechanism in managing the supply-demand balance in many sectors. Kumquats have risen over 160% in price in 5 days, the Toyota Camry costs the same but delivery lead times are starting to push out marginally. iTunes however is pretty happy one would think! Or are they? Iceland is aiming to become an even more important location for server farms -'due to the low cost of keeping servers cool'. Not on the Eyjafjallajoekull glacier at present though!
Posted via LiveJournal.app.
With very personal stake in the saga of the Icelandic eruption (I am currently in Malta, unable to return my daughter to the UK) a central question in my mind is: "how can we make effective plans to cover such unpredictable risks?"
Clearly, SCM risk management is not about covering EVERY feasible event, but it is concerned with contingecy strategies to keep business flowing. One example gaing attention is the massive dependence of the Kenyan flower and produce sector on European markets. Aalsmeer in Netherlands is the worlds largest flower auction house and depends on air freighted deliveries for it's upstream supply - with no deliveries, there is essentially only local (<1000km) sourcing available.
Posted via LiveJournal.app.
Having just installed this app to enable live and regular updates.
Posted via LiveJournal.app.